Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.