Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Notts County |
28.5% ( 1.11) | 23.69% ( 0.14) | 47.81% ( -1.26) |
Both teams to score 59.16% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.56% ( 0.13) | 42.43% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.16% ( 0.13) | 64.84% ( -0.13) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% ( 0.86) | 27.9% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.48% ( 1.08) | 63.52% ( -1.08) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% ( -0.43) | 17.93% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.24% ( -0.75) | 48.75% ( 0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.5% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 62 | -43 | 10 |
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