Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Solihull Moors |
23.72% ( 2.6) | 22.52% ( 0.82) | 53.76% ( -3.43) |
Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.84% ( -0.68) | 41.16% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.44% ( -0.7) | 63.55% ( 0.69) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.13% ( 1.93) | 30.87% ( -1.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.84% ( 2.21) | 67.15% ( -2.21) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.69% ( -1.34) | 15.31% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.96% ( -2.58) | 44.04% ( 2.58) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Solihull Moors |
2-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.52) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.84% Total : 23.72% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.37) 0-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.62) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.32) 0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.42) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.18) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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