Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Solihull Moors |
23.72% ( 2.6) | 22.52% ( 0.82) | 53.76% ( -3.43) |
Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.84% ( -0.68) | 41.16% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.44% ( -0.7) | 63.55% ( 0.69) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.13% ( 1.93) | 30.87% ( -1.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.84% ( 2.21) | 67.15% ( -2.21) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.69% ( -1.34) | 15.31% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.96% ( -2.58) | 44.04% ( 2.58) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Solihull Moors |
2-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.52) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.84% Total : 23.72% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.37) 0-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.62) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.32) 0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.42) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.18) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |