Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
32.41% ( 5.16) | 27.46% ( 0.27) | 40.13% ( -5.44) |
Both teams to score 48.93% ( 1.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.39% ( 0.95) | 56.61% ( -0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.42% ( 0.76) | 77.58% ( -0.76) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.6% ( 4.41) | 32.4% ( -4.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.08% ( 4.68) | 68.91% ( -4.68) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% ( -2.41) | 27.61% ( 2.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.85% ( -3.21) | 63.15% ( 3.2) |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.93) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 1.05) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.62) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.59) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.3) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.4% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -1.27) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( -1.4) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.46) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.87) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.37) Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 49 |
2 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 47 |
4 | Gateshead | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 33 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Tamworth | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 30 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 28 |
17 | Woking | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 24 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 58 | -41 | 9 |
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