Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.