Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.