Harrogate

3 - 1

Notts County

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.