Hartlepool

3 - 1

Chesterfield

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 23.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.