Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.