Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Wrexham | 44 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Solihull Moors | 44 | 38 | 87 |
4 | Halifax Town | 44 | 27 | 84 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
8 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 44 | 27 | 73 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
Result | ||
Solihull Moors | Draw | Chesterfield |
46.42% ( 0.29) | 25.18% ( 0.1) | 28.4% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 54.09% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.92% ( -0.63) | 49.08% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.84% ( -0.57) | 71.15% ( 0.57) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.83% ( -0.13) | 21.16% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.97% ( -0.21) | 54.03% ( 0.21) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.61% ( -0.61) | 31.39% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.24% ( -0.71) | 67.76% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Solihull Moors | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 62 | -43 | 10 |
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