Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
47.57% ( 0.74) | 25.08% ( -0.33) | 27.35% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 53.62% ( 0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.67% ( 1.08) | 49.33% ( -1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.62% ( 0.97) | 71.38% ( -0.97) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% ( 0.77) | 20.76% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.6% ( 1.2) | 53.4% ( -1.19) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% ( 0.25) | 32.33% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% ( 0.28) | 68.83% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 47.57% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |