Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.