Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.