Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Woking win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Woking win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Woking would win this match.