Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rochdale in this match.
Result | ||
Yeovil Town | Draw | Rochdale |
34.66% ( -0.27) | 26.06% ( 0.01) | 39.28% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.41% ( -0.06) | 50.58% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.5% ( -0.06) | 72.5% ( 0.06) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% ( -0.19) | 27.93% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.45% ( -0.25) | 63.55% ( 0.25) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% ( 0.11) | 25.29% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% ( 0.15) | 60.05% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Yeovil Town | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gateshead | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
2 | Rochdale | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 17 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
4 | York City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Eastleigh | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 16 |
6 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Woking | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
16 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 7 |
19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 5 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Fylde | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 5 |
23 | Tamworth | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 2 |
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