Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Wealdstone |
46.15% ( 0.04) | 24.57% ( -0) | 29.28% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.66% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.03% ( -0.02) | 45.97% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.72% ( -0.02) | 68.27% ( 0.02) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.99% ( 0.01) | 20.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.79% ( 0.01) | 52.21% ( -0.01) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.84% ( -0.04) | 29.16% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.9% ( -0.05) | 65.09% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Wealdstone |
1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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