Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moldova in this match.
-0.24) 
0.32) 
