Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Azerbaijan in this match.
