MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:38:15| >> :120:67127:67127:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Estonia national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Slovakia national football team

Estonia
0 - 1
Slovakia


Tamm (38'), Robert Shein (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Suslov (70')
Obert (28'), Bozenik (55'), Vavro (87'), Dubravka (90+5'), Calzona (90+6'), Hancko (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Estonia and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

All competitions
Last Game: Lithuania 1-1 Estonia (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

Slovakia

All competitions
Last Game: England 2-1 Slovakia
Sunday, June 30 at 5pm in European Championship

We said: Estonia 0-2 Slovakia

 Despite recent success in friendly matches, Estonia have not performed on the competitive stage for a while and could struggle in Tallinn on Thursday night. Slovakia competed against some of Europe's elite sides over the summer, meaning that they should have no issues easing past the Blueshirts during a Nations League opener. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.

Result
EstoniaDrawSlovakia
27.72% (-0.41 -0.41) 25.54% (-0.243 -0.24) 46.73% (0.647 0.65)
Both teams to score 52.45% (0.464 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49% (0.739 0.74)50.99% (-0.746 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.14% (0.645 0.65)72.86% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.073000000000008 0.07)32.91% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.082000000000001 0.08)69.48% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (0.602 0.6)21.82% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.96% (0.913 0.91)55.03% (-0.917 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Estonia 27.72%
    Slovakia 46.73%
    Draw 25.53%
EstoniaDrawSlovakia
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.43% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.72%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.32% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.69% (0.125 0.13)
0-3 @ 4.22% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.074 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.067 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 46.73%

How you voted: Estonia vs Slovakia

Estonia
18.0%
Draw
10.7%
Slovakia
71.3%
122
rhs 2.0
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