We said: Greece 3-1 Kosovo
Meetings between these two nations - fairly frequent over the past couple of years - have tended to be tightly contested, with Greece dictating play but their Kosovar counterparts often grinding out a draw.
While the visitors have lost only one of their last six fixtures, that was against the Greeks last week, and the visitors can now complete the double in short succession, as they continue to flourish under new management.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.