MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 10:18:52| >> :600:4216823:4216823:
Portugal national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Universitario de Lisboa
Scotland national football team

Portugal
2 - 1
Scotland

Fernandes (54'), Ronaldo (88')
Semedo (66'), Neves (67'), Fernandes (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McTominay (7')
Christie (39'), Robertson (51'), Ralston (86')

The Match

Match Report

Cristiano Ronaldo scores his 901st career goal as Portugal fight back from a goal down to defeat Scotland 2-1 in the UEFA Nations League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Portugal and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash with struggling Scotland.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Portugal 2-1 Croatia
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 2-3 Poland
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 77.45%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 8.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a Scotland win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawScotland
77.45% (-0.55500000000001 -0.56) 14.01% (0.248 0.25) 8.54% (0.303 0.3)
Both teams to score 51.42% (0.482 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.01% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)31.98% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.45% (-0.151 -0.15)53.55% (0.145 0.15)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.3% (-0.137 -0.14)6.69% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.21% (-0.363 -0.36)24.79% (0.359 0.36)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.11% (0.59399999999999 0.59)44.88% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.16% (0.473 0.47)80.84% (-0.47699999999999 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 77.44%
    Scotland 8.54%
    Draw 14.01%
PortugalDrawScotland
2-0 @ 10.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 9.9% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.69% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-1 @ 5.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 3.62% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 2.9% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.63% (-0.062 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 77.44%
1-1 @ 6.51% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.52% (0.088 0.09)
0-0 @ 3% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 14.01%
1-2 @ 2.61% (0.083 0.08)
0-1 @ 2.41% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 0.96% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 8.54%

How you voted: Portugal vs Scotland

Portugal
91.4%
Draw
5.1%
Scotland
3.5%
198
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2018 5pm
International Friendlies
Scotland
1-3
Portugal
Naismith (90')
Costa (44'), Eder (74'), Bruma (84')
Oliveira (30')
rhs 2.0
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