MX23RW : Friday, March 22 02:22:58| >> :600:194282:194282:
Scotland national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Ukraine national football team

Scotland
3 - 0
Ukraine

McGinn (70'), Dykes (80', 87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stepanenko (18'), Bondar (45+1'), Yaremchuk (71'), Sydorchuk (83'), Malinovskyi (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Scotland and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Armenia 1-4 Scotland
Tuesday, June 14 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Ukraine 1-1 Rep. Ireland
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Scotland 1-2 Ukraine

Having benefitted from the return of some relative 'normality', Ukraine's home-based players will now be match-fit and ready to impose their style of play on a Scotland side that has stumbled a little over the past year. Keeping themselves on-track for a return to the Nations League's top tier, the visitors can score twice and take maximum points home from Hampden. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.

Result
ScotlandDrawUkraine
54.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.39% (-0.012 -0.01) 22.35% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.87% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (0.058 0.06)46.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18% (0.053999999999998 0.05)68.82% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)17.06% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (0.033000000000001 0.03)47.23% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.95% (0.043999999999997 0.04)35.05% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.2% (0.047999999999998 0.05)71.8% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Scotland 54.25%
    Ukraine 22.35%
    Draw 23.39%
ScotlandDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.44%
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 54.25%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.39%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 22.35%

How you voted: Scotland vs Ukraine

Scotland
30.5%
Draw
17.2%
Ukraine
52.3%
522
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2022 7.45pm
Scotland
1-3
Ukraine
McGregor (79')
Dykes (45'), McGinn (59')
Yarmolenko (33'), Yaremchuk (49'), Dovbyk (90+5')
Yaremchuk (5'), Malinovskyi (11'), Shaparenko (84')
rhs 2.0
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