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UEFA Nations League

Spain national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Ukraine national football team

Spain
4 - 0
Ukraine

Ramos (3' pen., 29'), Fati (32'), Torres (84')
Rodri (37')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Malinovskiy (77'), Kovalenko (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash between Spain and Ukraine, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Spain could line up in their UEFA Nations League clash with Ukraine on Sunday night.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 12.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Ukraine win it was 1-2 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawUkraine
70.14%17.55%12.3%
Both teams to score 52.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.07%37.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.81%60.19%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.32%9.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.7%32.3%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.05%41.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.61%78.4%
Score Analysis
    Spain 70.14%
    Ukraine 12.31%
    Draw 17.55%
SpainDrawUkraine
2-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 8.62%
3-1 @ 7.49%
4-0 @ 5.03%
4-1 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 3.25%
5-0 @ 2.35%
5-1 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.9%
6-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 70.14%
1-1 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 4.18%
0-0 @ 4.06%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.55%
1-2 @ 3.58%
0-1 @ 3.53%
0-2 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.21%
1-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 12.31%