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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
Ballymena Showgrounds

Ballymena
1 - 4
Crusaders

McElroy (24')
Harpur (35'), Strain (43'), Hume (65'), Winchester (77'), McElroy (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Clarke (48'), Owens (53', 78'), Caddell (83')
Lowry (69'), Thompson (72')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCrusaders
19.7%23.4%56.89%
Both teams to score 50.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.24%49.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.23%71.76%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.46%39.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.77%76.22%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72%17.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39%47.61%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 19.7%
    Crusaders 56.88%
    Draw 23.39%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 6.34%
2-1 @ 5.16%
2-0 @ 2.94%
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.4%
3-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 19.7%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 6.83%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.39%
0-1 @ 11.99%
0-2 @ 10.52%
1-2 @ 9.77%
0-3 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 5.72%
0-4 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 2.51%
2-4 @ 1.17%
0-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 56.88%

Head to Head
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 27
Crusaders
2-0
Ballymena
Caddell (71'), Clarke (85')
Joe Burns (44')

Addis (87')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Ballymena
1-1
Crusaders
Harpur (67')
McGonigle (48' pen.)
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ballymena
0-3
Crusaders
Patterson (11'), Clarke (42'), Snoddy (56')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Crusaders
3-2
Ballymena
Heatley (6', 86'), Owens (29')
Winchester (25'), McCullough (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield1492330141629
2CliftonvilleCliftonville147341814424
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena158072018224
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon157262017323
5ColeraineColeraine156452320322
6PortadownPortadown146352016421
7GlentoranGlentoran156361514121
8CrusadersCrusaders136251513220
9LarneLarne11533139418
10GlenavonGlenavon153661119-815
11Carrick RangersCarrick143291427-1311
12Loughgall1532101735-1811


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