Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.