MX23RW : Friday, November 8 01:03:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership
May 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 1
Carrick

Lecky (7', 54'), Nixon (45+1')
Lecky (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Purkis (45+3')
Cushley (9'), Watson (56')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glentoran 4-0 Crusaders
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-2 Carrick
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
50.89% (0.141 0.14) 23.57% (-0.044 -0.04) 25.53% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.97% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (0.105 0.11)44.17% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (0.102 0.1)66.55% (-0.105 -0.11)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58% (0.093000000000004 0.09)17.41% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.14% (0.162 0.16)47.85% (-0.163 -0.16)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)31.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)67.32% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 50.89%
    Carrick Rangers 25.53%
    Draw 23.57%
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.25% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 50.89%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 25.53%

Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Crusaders
2-0
Carrick
Heatley (49'), Owens (65')
Clarke (45')

Forsythe (42'), Mitchell (62')
Forsythe (60')
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Carrick
0-1
Crusaders

McGuckin (76'), Macuilaitis (81'), Glendinning (89')
Lowry (45')
Robinson (58'), Heatley (87'), Joe Burns (89'), Larmour (90')
Aug 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Crusaders
9-0
Carrick
Heatley (11'), Kennedy (21', 25' pen., 28', 40'), Lowry (47'), Joe Burns (54'), Callacher (63'), Teelan (79')
Clarke (74')

Crowe (68'), Andrews (86')
Cherry (24')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Crusaders
3-0
Carrick
Clarke (66'), Owens (80'), Caddell (87')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Carrick
0-3
Crusaders
Heatley (10'), Forsythe (43', 50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield1492330141629
2CliftonvilleCliftonville147341814424
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena158072018224
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon157262017323
5ColeraineColeraine156452320322
6PortadownPortadown146352016421
7GlentoranGlentoran156361514121
8CrusadersCrusaders136251513220
9LarneLarne11533139418
10GlenavonGlenavon153661119-815
11Carrick RangersCarrick143291427-1311
12Loughgall1532101735-1811


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