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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Apr 30, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Seaview
Larne

Crusaders
1 - 2
Larne

Wilson (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McDaid (59', 72')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Larne
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 2-4 Larne
Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Larne had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawLarne
38.07%26.71%35.22%
Both teams to score 51.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78%53.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21%74.78%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82%27.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42%62.58%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13%28.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27%64.73%
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 38.06%
    Larne 35.22%
    Draw 26.7%
CrusadersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 7.84%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.22%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Larne
1-2
Crusaders
Jarvis (74')
(45'), (59'), (66')
Larmour (68'), Lecky (82')
(59'), (86')
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Larne
1-0
Crusaders
Lynch (77')
Herron (22'), Sule (24'), Hale (90+4')

Wilson (12'), Joe Burns (28'), Heatley (52')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
1-0
Larne
Lecky (16')
McMurray (13'), Joe Burns (13'), Robinson (61'), Lecky (72'), Larmour (73')

Mitchell (13'), Bolger (61'), Randall (66'), McDaid (73'), Cosgrove (88'), Hughes (89')
May 1, 2021 5.30pm
Crusaders
1-3
Larne
Clarke (45')
Heatley (55'), Caddell (78')
McMurray (62'), Hale (68'), Mottley-Henry (77')
Cosgrove (19'), Jarvis (45')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Larne
0-3
Crusaders

Sule (30')
Lecky (54', 69', 77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield23163443162751
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2412393427739
3GlentoranGlentoran2311572820838
4PortadownPortadown2311482923637
5LarneLarne189542213932
6CliftonvilleCliftonville229492825331
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena22101112729-231
8CrusadersCrusaders2494112835-731
9ColeraineColeraine228683733430
10GlenavonGlenavon2367102130-925
11Carrick RangersCarrick2256112033-1321
12Loughgall2434172457-3313


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