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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 21
Dec 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview
Larne

Crusaders
0 - 3
Larne


Larmour (6'), Joe Burns (63'), O'Rourke (67')
Joe Burns (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ryan (47', 68' pen.), Bonis (53')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Crusaders
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 4-1 Glenavon
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawLarne
28.54% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 26.7% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 44.75% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.49% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.9% (0.113 0.11)55.1% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.65% (0.093999999999998 0.09)76.35% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)34.44% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85% (0.023 0.02)71.15% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (0.091999999999999 0.09)24.51% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (0.129 0.13)58.97% (-0.129 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 28.54%
    Larne 44.75%
    Draw 26.7%
CrusadersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 9% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 28.54%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 11.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.9% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.75%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Larne
1-1
Crusaders
Ives (63')
Donnelly (35'), Want (47')
Kennedy (80')
Anderson (45'), Heatley (51')
Apr 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crusaders
0-2
Larne
Ryan (12'), Bonis (62')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Larne
4-1
Crusaders
Bonis (9', 35'), Millar (14'), O'Neill (19')
Lowry (90+2')
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Crusaders
1-1
Larne
Lowry (65')
(45+1'), Joe Burns (51'), Forsythe (57')
Millar (80')
Cosgrove (39'), Randall (57'), Bonis (90+3')
Randall (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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34-17
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FT
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6-24
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9.25pm
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30-38
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9.05pm
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9.25pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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