NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 19, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
2 - 0
Ballymena

Campbell (60'), McGerrigan (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hood (50')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Cliftonville 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 1-1 Carrick
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawBallymena United
44.24% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)27.63% (0.042000000000002 0.04)28.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.58% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.3% (-0.161 -0.16)58.7% (0.159 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.76% (-0.126 -0.13)79.24% (0.123 0.12)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)26.39% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (-0.114 -0.11)61.55% (0.111 0.11)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (-0.108 -0.11)36.71% (0.105 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.5% (-0.106 -0.11)73.5% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 44.24%
    Ballymena United 28.12%
    Draw 27.63%
GlenavonDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 12.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.24%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 28.12%

Head to Head
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Ballymena
0-2
Glenavon

Nelson (67'), Rocks (71')
Brown (84'), Nelson (90'), Nelson (90')
Campbell (55'), McDaid (68')
McKeown (27'), Jarvis (64'), Scott (83')
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Glenavon
0-1
Ballymena

Lynch (52'), Carroll (62'), O'Sullivan (73')
Kennedy (62' pen.)
Rocks (11'), Lafferty (16')
Aug 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Ballymena
3-1
Glenavon
Kennedy (14', 21', 49')
Rocks (30'), O'Sullivan (45+3'), Johnston (90+2')
Ward (33')
McDaid (36'), Lafferty (45+2'), Snoddy (58')
Apr 16, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Ballymena
1-0
Glenavon
McCurry (8')
McMurray (88'), Gawne (88')
Whiteside (53')

Malone (86')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Glenavon
0-1
Ballymena

Snoddy (60')
Taylor (36')