Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 90.07%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 2.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.73%) and 4-0 (11.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.52%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (1.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.