MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 13:20:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lakeview Park

Loughgall
3 - 1
Newry City AFC

Magee (48', 65', 90+2')
Kelly (76'), Boyd (83'), Loughran (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Salley (52')
Forde (31'), Salley (36'), Maguire (72'), Poynton (76'), McKeown (83'), Poynton (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Loughgall and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glentoran 6-0 Loughgall
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Coleraine
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Loughgall would win this match.

Result
LoughgallDrawNewry City AFC
53.81% (0.37 0.37) 21.81% (-0.101 -0.1) 24.39% (-0.268 -0.27)
Both teams to score 61.9% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.91% (0.209 0.21)37.09% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.71% (0.22600000000001 0.23)59.29% (-0.225 -0.23)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12% (0.188 0.19)13.88% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.71% (0.372 0.37)41.29% (-0.372 -0.37)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)28.12% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.119 -0.12)63.79% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Loughgall 53.81%
    Newry City AFC 24.39%
    Draw 21.81%
LoughgallDrawNewry City AFC
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.03% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 53.81%
1-1 @ 9.78% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 24.39%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Newry City AFC
0-3
Loughgall

King (2'), Lockhart (15')
Lockhart (90+2')
Loughran (10', 26'), Ferris (23' pen.)
Ferris (17'), Loughran (60'), Hoey (62'), Murdock (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1793526161030
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon189272421329
4PortadownPortadown178452417728
5GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
7ColeraineColeraine177462822625
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick1743101829-1115
11GlenavonGlenavon183691125-1415
12Loughgall1832131846-2811


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