Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 56.96%. A win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 22.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.46%) and 0-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Warrenpoint Town win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ballymena United in this match.