Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Chile Women had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Chile Women win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Japan Women in this match.