Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage

Jul 24, 2021 at 9am UK

Miyagi Stadium

China PR Women
4 - 4
Zambia Women

Wang (6', 22', 23', 83' pen.)
Li (86')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Kundanaji (15'), Banda (42' pen., 46', 69')
Mweemba (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between China PR Women and Zambia Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia Women win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for China PR Women had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest China PR Women win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
China PR Women	Draw	Zambia Women
31.93%	23.16%	44.91%

Both teams to score 63.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.97%

38.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.71%

60.29%

China PR Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46%

23.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.42%

57.58%

Zambia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65%

17.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.26%

47.74%

Score Analysis

China PR Women 31.93%

Zambia Women 44.91%

Draw 23.15%

China PR Women	Draw	Zambia Women
2-1 @ 7.49% 1-0 @ 5.91% 2-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.93%	1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 4.08% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.15%	1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 5.29% 2-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.66% 1-4 @ 2.32% 2-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.07% Total : 44.91%