Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2021 at 9am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002
France U23s4 - 3South Africa U23s
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for South Africa Under-23s had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest South Africa Under-23s win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that France Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| France Under-23s | Draw | South Africa Under-23s |
| 45.6% | 25.32% | 29.08% |
| Both teams to score 54.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
