Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 22, 2021 at 9am UK

Kashima Soccer Stadium

N.Zealand U23s
1 - 0
South Korea U23s

Wood (72')
Lewis (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between New Zealand Under-23s and South Korea Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea Under-23s win with a probability of 78.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for New Zealand Under-23s had a probability of 7.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea Under-23s win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.03%) and 0-1 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a New Zealand Under-23s win it was 1-0 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
New Zealand Under-23s	Draw	South Korea Under-23s
7.59%	14.31%	78.1%

Both teams to score 45.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.6%

37.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.37%

59.63%

New Zealand Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.93%

51.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.61%

85.39%

South Korea Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.24%

7.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.41%

27.59%

Score Analysis

New Zealand Under-23s 7.59%

South Korea Under-23s 78.09%

Draw 14.31%

New Zealand Under-23s	Draw	South Korea Under-23s
1-0 @ 2.66% 2-1 @ 2.29% Other @ 2.64% Total : 7.59%	1-1 @ 6.81% 0-0 @ 3.96% 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.62% Total : 14.31%	0-2 @ 12.95% 0-3 @ 11.03% 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 8.7% 1-3 @ 7.42% 0-4 @ 7.06% 1-4 @ 4.74% 0-5 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-5 @ 2.42% 2-4 @ 1.59% 0-6 @ 1.54% 1-6 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.38% Total : 78.09%