Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 28, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Sapporo Dome

South Africa U23s
0 - 3
Mexico U23s

Mohamme (4'), Cele (75')
Malepe (58')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Vega (18'), Romo (45'), Martin (60')
Rodriguez (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between South Africa Under-23s and Mexico Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico Under-23s win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for South Africa Under-23s had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.59%) and 1-2 (7.5%). The likeliest South Africa Under-23s win was 1-0 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico Under-23s would win this match.

Result
South Africa Under-23s	Draw	Mexico Under-23s
31.83%	29.85%	38.32%

Both teams to score 42.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.11%

64.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.19%

83.81%

South Africa Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.77%

37.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.99%

74.01%

Mexico Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.2%

32.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.63%

69.37%

Score Analysis

South Africa Under-23s 31.83%

Mexico Under-23s 38.32%

Draw 29.85%

South Africa Under-23s	Draw	Mexico Under-23s
1-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 6.65% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.79% Total : 31.83%	1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 12.21% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.85%	0-1 @ 13.61% 0-2 @ 7.59% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-3 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.32%