Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 31
May 4, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion MOSiR
Stal Mielec3 - 2Jagiellonia
Shkurin (35'), Matras (48'), Gerstenstein (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-3 Legia
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-2 Szczecin
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
68
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stal Mielec | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
27.07% ( -0.3) | 23.44% ( -0.05) | 49.48% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 58.85% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.67% ( 0.01) | 42.33% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.26% ( 0.01) | 64.73% ( -0.01) |
Stal Mielec Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.13% ( -0.21) | 28.87% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.26% ( -0.27) | 64.74% ( 0.27) |
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.74% ( 0.14) | 17.25% ( -0.14) |