Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warta Poznan would win this match.