Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-21s win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 39.61% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.03%) and 3-1 (4.9%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-21s would win this match.