MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:26:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Oct 28, 2023 at 12pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
4 - 2
Man City U21s

Brown (14', 39'), Davidson (70'), Weston (90')
Cox (62')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Oboavwoduo (21'), Lawrence (50')
Samuel (58'), Okeke (75')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Manchester City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby U21s 2-3 Brighton U21s
Friday, September 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Man City U21s 2-2 West Ham U21s
Saturday, September 30 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 70.83%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.94%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawManchester City Under-21s
13.8% (-0.309 -0.31) 15.37% (-0.296 -0.3) 70.83% (0.598 0.6)
Both teams to score 66.61% (0.398 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.25% (0.78699999999999 0.79)22.74% (-0.794 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.09% (1.066 1.07)41.91% (-1.073 -1.07)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (0.20699999999999 0.21)29.27% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (0.257 0.26)65.23% (-0.264 -0.26)
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.19% (0.28100000000001 0.28)5.81% (-0.2881 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.66% (0.80500000000001 0.81)22.34% (-0.812 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 13.8%
    Manchester City Under-21s 70.83%
    Draw 15.37%
Derby County Under-21sDrawManchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 3.65% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.09% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.28% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 13.8%
1-1 @ 5.94% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 2.02% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 1.7% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 15.37%
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 8.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-3 @ 6.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 5.71% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 4.93% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.84% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-4 @ 4.65% (0.059 0.06)
2-4 @ 3.51% (0.086 0.09)
1-5 @ 3.25% (0.114 0.11)
0-5 @ 2.65% (0.078 0.08)
2-5 @ 2% (0.082 0.08)
1-6 @ 1.54% (0.079 0.08)
3-4 @ 1.44% (0.043 0.04)
0-6 @ 1.26% (0.058 0.06)
2-6 @ 0.95% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 70.83%

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