Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.