Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 58.47%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 21.98% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.