Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-21s win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City Under-21s would win this match.