Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 68.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Sunderland Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.
-0.55) 
0.87) 
