Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.96%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-23s would win this match.
