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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 1, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Manchester City logo

Arsenal
1 - 2
Man City

Saka (31')
Xhaka (55'), Magalhaes (57'), Saka (63'), Holding (68')
Magalhaes (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mahrez (57' pen.), Rodri (90+3')
Rodri (90+4'), Silva (90+5')

The Match

Team News

Pep Guardiola will have to cope without Phil Foden when his Manchester City side lock horns with Arsenal for Saturday's Premier League clash at the Emirates Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up in Saturday's Premier League clash with Arsenal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of the Premier League fixture with Arsenal.

We said: Arsenal 1-2 Manchester City

Arsenal will be feeling good about themselves after a strong run of results, and we are expecting this to be a tight contest at the Emirates Stadium. Man City's record against the Gunners cannot be ignored, though, and we are backing Guardiola's side to pick up another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for an Arsenal win it was 1-0 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
ArsenalDrawManchester City
24.2%25.06%50.74%
Both teams to score 50.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.38%51.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.6%73.41%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.83%36.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.05%72.96%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65%20.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.25%52.75%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 24.2%
    Manchester City 50.74%
    Draw 25.06%
ArsenalDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 7.49%
2-1 @ 6.06%
2-0 @ 3.81%
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 24.2%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.36%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 11.72%
1-2 @ 9.49%
0-2 @ 9.33%
1-3 @ 5.04%
0-3 @ 4.95%
2-3 @ 2.56%
1-4 @ 2%
0-4 @ 1.97%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 50.74%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Man City

Arsenal
31.9%
Draw
17.3%
Manchester City
50.8%
423
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Man City
5-0
Arsenal
Gundogan (7'), Torres (12', 84'), Jesus (43'), Rodri (53')
Rodri (67')

Soares (24'), Kolasinac (28')
Xhaka (35')
Feb 21, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
Arsenal
0-1
Man City

Xhaka (53'), Bellerin (87')
Sterling (2')
Silva (51'), Cancelo (64')
Dec 22, 2020 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Arsenal
1-4
Man City
Lacazette (31')
Elneny (23'), Mustafi (25')
Jesus (3'), Mahrez (54'), Foden (59'), Laporte (73')
Silva (65')
Oct 17, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Man City
1-0
Arsenal
Sterling (23')
Rodri (14'), Cancelo (63'), Dias (68'), Ake (84')

Partey (90+4')
Jul 18, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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