Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 5, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa2 - 1Leicester
We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Leicester City
Both of these sides will believe that they should be higher up the league table at this stage, and it is a very important match in the context of their seasons. A case can be made for a home or an away win, but we just have a feeling that a tight match between two good teams will finish level. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
| 28.31% | 25.53% | 46.16% |
| Both teams to score 52.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.4% | 50.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.49% | 72.51% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.75% | 32.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.25% | 68.75% |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% | 21.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.83% | 55.17% |
| Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 28.31%
Leicester City 46.15%
Draw 25.53%
| Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 8% 2-1 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.31% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 4.66% 0-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 46.15% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Leicester
Aston Villa
38.1%Draw
25.5%Leicester City
36.4%239
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2021 2.05pm
Gameweek 25
Aston Villa
1-2
Leicester
Mar 9, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 29
Leicester
4-0
Aston Villa
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Aston Villa
2-1
Leicester
Jan 8, 2020 8pm
Semi-Finals
Leicester
1-1
Aston Villa
Form Guide
