Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2021 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa2 - 0Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Anwar El Ghazi added Villa's second goal from the penalty spot.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Newcastle United |
43.18% | 27.77% | 29.05% |
Both teams to score 46.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.22% | 58.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.7% | 79.3% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% | 26.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.67% | 62.33% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.99% | 36.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.21% | 72.79% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 43.18%
Newcastle United 29.05%
Draw 27.77%
Aston Villa | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 12.73% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 9.93% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.96% Total : 29.05% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Newcastle
Aston Villa
67.3%Draw
18.1%Newcastle United
14.6%226
Head to Head
Jun 24, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 31
Newcastle
1-1
Aston Villa
Nov 25, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
2-0
Newcastle
Feb 20, 2017 8pm
Form Guide