We said: Brentford 2-3 Tottenham Hotspur
Brentford have developed an affinity for London derbies during their inaugural Premier League season and are playing without any fear, which bodes well against a Tottenham side whose confidence was rocked somewhat last weekend.
The Lilywhites' toothless attacking showing against Brighton was surely just a one-off, and while Brentford will feel confident of keeping up their stellar goalscoring run, we are still expecting Conte's side to just edge an entertaining contest given the Bees' defensive absentees.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.