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Premier League | Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
Turf Moor
Brighton logo

Burnley
1 - 2
Brighton

Wood (44')
Brownhill (5'), Bardsley (85'), Pieters (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bissouma (20'), Connolly (50')

The Match

Match Report

Connolly's strike five minutes after the break settled it.

Team News

Charlie Taylor, Matt Lowton, Jack Cork, Ashley Barnes and Ben Mee are all sidelined.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
34.66%26.45%38.89%
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75%52.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05%73.95%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26%28.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42%64.57%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73%26.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62%61.38%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 34.66%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 38.89%
    Draw 26.45%
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 6.75%
1-3 @ 3.75%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.89%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Feb 9, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Brighton
1-3
Burnley
Duffy (76')
Ryan (72')
Wood (26', 61'), Barnes (74' pen.)
Westwood (76')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Burnley
1-0
Brighton
Tarkowski (40')
Tarkowski (86'), Bardsley (90')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Dec 16, 2017 3pm
Brighton
0-0
Burnley
March (68'), Stephens (77'), Dunk (87'), Duffy (93')
Taylor (48'), Barnes (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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